We are not yet on the other side of the pandemic despite vaccination drives around the world by local governments.
The IMF estimates that the global economy shrunk by 4.4 per cent in 2020. Most world economies are struggling with rising unemployment.
However, one industry, is holding steady.
The latest Direct Selling Report, published by the World Federation of Direct Selling Associations (WFDSA), shows global direct sales increased by 2.3 per cent year-on-year, from US$175.3 billion in 2019 to US$179.3 billion in 2020.
The report shows that the three-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is rising despite the devastation caused by Covid-19.
From 2017 through 2020, the direct selling industry saw a CAGR of 3.0 per cent (excluding China), demonstrating resilience where most commercial sectors are experiencing a downward trend due to the pandemic.
What Is Direct Selling?
It is a sales channel used by companies to promote their products away from a physical retail location, directly to the end consumer primarily relying on word-of-mouth promotion from existing users.
In some ways, direct selling is an evolution of the traveling salesmen from the early 1900s. The direct selling business was the original gig economy business before tech companies made this form of flexible employment opportunities popular in recent years.
Many businesses around the world use the direct selling business model to promote unique products and services in categories such as wellness and nutrition, personal and beauty care, home care products etc.
For many people, direct selling offers them a great platform to become micro entrepreneurs and build a sales business promoting such products when they sign up as distributors of direct selling companies.
The direct selling industry's continued growth is not surprising.
Historically, this industry has always experienced growth during economic recessions. During shaky economic times, people have a renewed awareness of the need to establish more income streams and for those who are looking to start a business, direct selling offers an attractive opportunity to start one that does not require a lot of capital or the need to deal with operational and logistics hassles.
The Pandemic Effect
The foundation of the direct selling business is the relationship and personal touch that distributors build with their customers, and their own team members. With the lockdown forcing social distancing and long periods of isolation, the direct selling industry did take a hit in the initial days of the pandemic.
However, most companies made a recovery soon after as they quickly adapted to the new normal with a shift to digital engagement tools and virtual events and training programmes.
The pandemic forced many businesses to expedite their digital adoption. For the direct selling industry which has traditionally relied on in-personal interactions this was particularly critical.
Those who made the shift quickly and were able to engage with and support their customers and distributors, didn't just survive, but thrived!
For example, at QNET, we saw record-breaking growth of up to 65 per cent in some African markets.
The increased demand for online shopping and the transition to digital played to our strengths: high-quality personal relationships and a high-performing e-commerce platform.
Our European business even won a Digital Business award for their swift implementation of digital solutions to support the network of distributors. These included online business presentations to social media workshops to training in virtual communication tools among others.
Africa and Asia: Two Markets To Look Out For
Africa has been projected to be the new frontier of direct selling. The region has one of the highest three- year CAGR at 6.0 per cent.
The World Bank's economic analysis highlights how African countries were quick to recover from the Covid-19 crisis. Locals are adopting digital technologies exponentially, boosting productivity and employment opportunities as e-commerce opens up new prospects for businesses.
The road to strengthening Africa's economy will lie in remote work and gig opportunities. How well digitisation is integrated into the current economy, allowing businesses to leverage their digital commerce infrastructure and local know-how to provide new gainful income opportunities, will be key to this process.
The attractiveness of direct selling is in the numbers. In 2020, the WFDSA report saw a 17.3 per cent year-on-year increase in the number of individuals involved in this industry in Africa, bringing the total to 6.3 million distributors.
Asia is the most significant contributor in global sales for 2020 at a whopping US$76.5 billion, constituting 43 per cent of overall sales.
Despite the drop in year-on-year sales by 3.6 per cent, Asia maintains its position as the biggest market for direct selling. India, Malaysia, and Vietnam saw the highest percentage change in sales for 2020 in the region, with each country recording over 15 per cent in year-on-year sales growth.
Asian Development Bank estimates Asia's economic outlook to rebound, with gross domestic product hitting 5.3 per cent by 2022. This indicates that direct selling in Asia will see growth trends in the coming year as movement restrictions ease and traditional retail regains momentum.
E-commerce will likely continue to grow due to the shift in consumption behaviour accelerated during the pandemic.
Southeast Asia's online sector alone is expected to reach US$300 billion by 2025.
What Is Next For The Industry?
Companies with health and wellness products experienced a significant boost in their sales thanks to increased awareness and personal health concerns brough on my the pandemic.
These products took the lead in global direct sales at US$64.8 billion. This trend will likely persist in the following years.
In 2020, direct selling became more agile in response to consumers' behavioural changes. The industry had to reinvent itself to adapt to the fast changing global situation.
While things such as social commerce, integrated lifestyle solutions through product offerings, and sophisticated technology driven tools are all good things for companies to adopt, I think it is important for the industry to go back to the origins of its concept and their efforts, focusing on community sharing of valuable economic goals and offering the opportunity for personal and professional growth.
Innovation is all around us, in the way people and companies generate revenue. Micro-entrepreneurship is on the rise. e-commerce is booming.
As long as direct selling companies have adapted to the change and accept the paradigm shifts that will shape the future, there has never been a better time to join direct delling than now.