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Gold prices edge higher as key US inflation data looms

May 14: Gold prices drifted up on Tuesday, with spotlight shifting to key inflation reports due this week, which could offer more insights on the pace and scale of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts this year.

Spot gold was up 0.2 per cent at US$2,340.77 per ounce by 0306 GMT after falling 1 per cent on Monday.

U.S. gold futures rose 0.2 per cent to US$2,346.30.

The U.S. producer price index data is scheduled for release at 1230 GMT, followed by the consumer price index on Wednesday. The CPI data is expected to show core inflation rose 0.3 per cent month-over-month in April, down from 0.4 per cent the prior month, according to a Reuters poll, pulling the annual rate down to 3.6 per cent.

"If gold manages to hold above US$2,320- US$2,330 range, that is a sign of positiveness. That means short-term momentum will be bullish and with that support after a weaker CPI data, potentially gold could test the all-time high level in the short-term," said Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at OANDA.

However, currently "gold prices are supported by ongoing stagflationary risk scenario that is kind of ignoring the whole higher cost of holding gold."

Bullion is known as inflation hedge but elevated interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.

Last week's weak jobs report and a softer-than-expected U.S. payrolls report for April have increased expectations for rate reductions this year. The Fed will cut its key interest rate twice this year, starting in September, according to a stronger majority of economists polled by Reuters.

Spot silver rose 0.4 per cent to US$28.30 per ounce and palladium gained 0.4 per cent to US$964.75.

Platinum was up 0.4 per cent to US$1,000.95, after hitting a near one-year peak on Monday.

Anglo American rejected a raised takeover offer of 34 billion pounds (US$42.67 billion) from BHP Group. - Reuters

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