This year will be challenging for most developing economies — including Malaysia — against the backdrop of a lacklustre global growth forecast, and possibly a long-lasting one, too.
Although Malaysia's domestic growth outlook will continue to be positive, weak global economic prospects and geopolitical uncertainties are likely to impact an open, trading nation like Malaysia, in one way or another.
I have long believed the way forward for Malaysia to weather these squalls will be through a stronger engagement and integration with the 660-million strong Asean. The region is not only a huge market that we are strategically located in, but also has the potential to withstand external shocks.
During the 2022 Khazanah Megatrends Forum (KMF) last October, I had mentioned that Asean needs to work towards strengthening the intra-Asean supply chain, especially for food and energy security. Currently grossly underutilised as a platfrom, Asean can emerge as a driving force to provide stability and prosperity for its people.
It was, therefore, timely that Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim recently made his first official trip abroad to Indonesia, which is chair of Asean this year. As Malaysia's minister of international trade and industry, I was pleased to have been part of this very productive sojourn.
I have long felt that Indonesia, with its 280-million population, is essential for the "Asean strategy" of any business or country, Malaysia included.
Malaysia and Indonesia are arguably Asean's "special relationship" duo. We are bound by millennia-old historical, cultural, culinary and linguistic ties.
But Indonesia also matters to Malaysia in real time. It is our second largest trading partner and third largest source of foreign direct investment within Asean. Total trade was roughly US$23.8 billion in 2021, a 45.5 per cent year-on-year growth.
With the reopening of our borders last year, total year-on-year trade growth will likely exceed 30 per cent. From January to November last year, our bilateral trade exceeded US$27 billion, 33 per cent more than in 2021.
In taking this relationship forward, it's high time both nations' policymakers coordinated to identify important and critical industries that are scalable. Hence, it was also good that during the two-day trip, our prime minister witnessed exchanges of nine memoranda of understanding (MoUs) between Malaysian and Indonesian companies in various sectors.
The MoUs (which included two agencies under the ministry) represent a cumulative value of RM1.66 billion.
I was also honoured to hand over 11 letters of intent (LoI) from Malaysian companies to Bambang Susantono, the head of the authority overseeing Nusantara, Indonesia's new capital.
These LoIs underscore Malaysia's support for this momentous undertaking — a long-cherished goal of Indonesia's to take pressure off Jakarta by shifting their capital and spreading out development across the archipelago, especially its resource-rich eastern flank.
During the trip, there was mutual warmth, trust and familiarity, not only at the government-to-government level, but I dare say also at the business-to-business and people-to-people levels, that we must now leverage to shape a more resilient Asean future together.
For a start, a commitment to facilitate cross-border trade and investments is necessary, not only at the country level, but also between Malaysian states and Indonesian provinces. This also requires identifying and facilitating opportunities for Malaysia's and Indonesia's mid-tier exporters and small and medium enterprises, which are powerful engines for economic expansion.
Doing so will ensure growth is inclusive, enjoyed beyond Jakarta and Kuala Lumpur, and not limited to the large corporate players.
All these, and more, made for rich discussions during meetings with my counterparts, many of whom have become friends over the years, and many that I had met while heading a regional bank prior to 2020.
They include Coordinating Minister for Maritime Affairs and Investment Luhut Binsar Pandjaitan, State-Owned Enterprises Minister Eric Thohir, and Industry Minister Agus Gumiwang Kartasasmita.
I also valued the opportunity to discuss the Malaysia-Indonesia special relationship with Retno Marsudi, Indonesia's foreign minister, during our friendly coffee meeting.
Then there was, of course, our very warm meeting with President Joko Widodo — popularly known as Jokowi — who pledged continued collaboration on various matters.
One of these is the need to shape and invest in our shared future. Take, for example, the development of Nusantara, on which I would argue that Malaysia, too, has a strategic imperative in seeing it succeed.
The new Indonesian capital will catalyse growth, infrastructure and connectivity (including with East Asia and the wider Pacific) not only for Eastern Indonesia but also Sabah and Sarawak, which will share the strategic Borneo island with the new city.
What's good for Nusantara will be good for Sabah and Sarawak, and for Malaysia and Indonesia as a whole. So, while the new capital is in its infancy, it is appropriate for Malaysia to seek opportunities there — especially with our experience in developing Putrajaya.
Similarly, many Malaysian companies have found success in investing in Indonesia in the past two decades, in sectors such as finance, telecommunications, infrastructure and plantations.
I had a good discussion on these issues, plus an enjoyable jamming session with Basuki Hadimuljono, Indonesia's minister of public works and public housing, who is a good drummer.
Moving forward, I am optimistic that cross-border trade and investment flows with Indonesia will continue expanding. More importantly, as Indonesia grows and as its businesses thrive, its companies should view Malaysia as a natural platform to expand and internationalise their operations.
Malaysian companies will, in turn, benefit from potential collaborations with, as well as the expertise and experience of their Indonesian counterparts.
Each country has its strengths that the other should leverage in building a more resilient Asean.
Collaborations can range from standing up against the anti-palm oil campaign, to building/sharing expertise in environmental, social, and corporate governance, and joint exploration of natural resources; from strengthening the intra-Asean supply chain to digitalisation, as well as fostering new technologies, such as digital infrastructure and developing more downstream industries.
The ultimate prize is a stronger, more resilient Asean. Supported by the Indonesia-Malaysia special relationship, Asean can be a bastion of growth, peace, and stability even in the face of a global economic downturn.
As I had said at the KMF last year: There can be no Asian Century without a strong Asean at its core.
And a strong Asean requires Indonesia and Malaysia to work together, hand in hand, shoulder to shoulder and heart to heart, to help make Asean the epicentre of Asia's growth.
The writer is international trade and industry minister