KUALA LUMPUR: MIDF Research sees lower cost pressures for Malaysia's producers amid lower commodity prices and easing global supply chain issues.
The reopening of China and the better supply of labour and materials globally provide further support, it said.
The continuous decline in Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation provides a positive signal, especially for Consumers' Price Index (CPI) trajectory in the near term, it added.
"However, the higher interest rates in major economies, elevated energy prices, currency fluctuations, and continuous geopolitical tensions will continue to pose downside risks to global inflation, including Malaysia's price growth pressure this year," the research house said in a statement today (Mar 28).
Malaysia's input inflation contracted for the first time in two years, shrinking by 0.8 per cent year-on-year last month. On a month-on-month basis, the input inflation fell by 0.2 per cent, marking the third straight month of negative growth.
MIDF Research said the tapering price pressures on producers were mainly due to the persistent contraction of the cost of crude materials and the moderation in the cost of intermediate materials.
Inflation of crude materials stayed contractionary since last August while the cost growth of intermediate materials moderated to an almost two-year low at 3.3 per cent year-on-year last month.
"We believe the persistent contraction of crude materials inflation was due to lower global energy prices whereas the improvement in intermediate materials cost inflation was partly attributed to the easing global supply chain pressures and better US dollar/Ringgit levels," MIDF said. – Bernama